Stay Liquid. Warren Buffet wrote:
"We will always arrange our affairs so that any requirements for cash we may conceivably have will be dwarfed by our own liquidity. Moreover, that liquidity will be constantly refreshed by a gusher of earnings from our many and diverse businesses."
There are two simple lessons to be gleaned from this advice, 1.) Have cash, and, 2.) Ensure investments produce cash. While seemingly easy to follow, it is clear from the recent real estate and financial crisis that these principles are quickly lost. Overleveraging and risky investments can too easily entice people from the shores of sanity. When investing in net leases, ensure you are not overleveraged and that your investment is a sound, income producing property.
Buy When Everyone Else Is Selling.
"We've put a lot of money to work during the chaos of the last two years. It's been an ideal period for investors: A climate of fear is their best friend. . . . Big opportunities come infrequently. When it's raining gold, reach for a bucket, not a thimble."
This is pretty easy to understand but hard to follow. First of all its takes a considerable amount of bravery and foresight to run in the opposite direction as everyone else, secondly, it takes well planned fundamentals to ensure one has the cash to take advantage of the situation. However, for investors who do have the resources, allowing fear to inhibit investment opportunities defeats the entire purpose of investing.
Today’s commercial real estate market is obviously at a low point but those who insist on “waiting for the bottom” are in reality waiting for someone else to start investing first. In order to capitalize one must first mobilize and do so before the mob.
Don't Buy When Everyone Else Is Buying.
"Those who invest only when commentators are upbeat end up paying a heavy price for meaningless reassurance,"
Nothing is free. That includes “reassurance”, with which one buys off the cognitive dissonance of a decision. The most utilized source of this are the opinions of other people; we all care deeply about “what others think”. The price for this can be easily assessed in terms of cash, as demand increases price. Thus, the more people it takes to lend support to your investment, the more money you will pay for it.
Value, Value, Value.
"In the end, what counts in investing is what you pay for a business -- through the purchase of a small piece of it in the stock market-- and what that business earns in the succeeding decade or two."
When investing in commercial real estate it is very important to obtain an asset which produces value. There are many ways of assessing this, but stability over time is usually the most reliable. A few years ago, many would have rather owned an artificial island off the coast of
Understand What You Own.
"Investors who buy and sell based upon media or analyst commentary are not for us,"
It is important to study the fundamentals of what you wish to acquire, with net leases this is especially important. Location, credit tenant rating, past returns, and lease agreements can all impact an investment tremendously. Before making an investment it is vital to understand its attributes.
Defense Beats Offense.
"Though we have lagged the S&P in some years that were positive for the market, we have consistently done better than the S&P in the 11 years during which it delivered negative results. In other words, our defense has been better than our offense, and that's likely to continue."
Great article and you couldn't have said it any better in the first couple sentences... "the trick is not in knowing them, but in applying them". Easier said than done, but I bet there are a lot of first time investors out there that would have liked to have read that article back in 2005! Thank you for the insight.
ReplyDeleteJacob
Mr. Hipp is advocating 'catching a falling knife' in his key point #2, when he advises investors to 'buy before the mob'. If you are going to try to 'time' the market, the correct entry point is at the beginning of the uptick in prices and deal volume. 'Picking' the bottom is pure speculation. So after a period when 'everyone is selling' with prices in decline, and the market starts to revive with deal volume and prices increasing - that is generally the ideal time to enter the market with acquisitions.
ReplyDeleteJonathan,
ReplyDeletegreat text, with thoughts that run both above to below the equator.
The intelligence and common sense have no boundaries, and over here in Brazil we are learning to play the game.
Sincerely,
Eduardo Buys
ps: my English is poor, so it is fortified with a little help from google translate ...
Editor do Blog do Varejo
www.varejototal.zip.net
twitter=> @edubuys skype=> edubuys